Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 13%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
7%
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 13%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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