Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 ปริมาณ
$189,464 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 ปริมาณ
$189,464 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
$2,282 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$6,301 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$671 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,242 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,219 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,390 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,486 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$16,474 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$43,144 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$25,433 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$76,821 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189,464วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189,464วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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