Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$361,513 ปริมาณ
$361,513 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$361,513 ปริมาณ
$361,513 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
21°C or below
$3,503 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$12,455 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,725 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$105,968 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$62,427 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$64,820 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$53,230 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$28,335 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,110 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,804 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$2,135 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$361,513วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$361,513วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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