Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 ปริมาณ
$653,114 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 ปริมาณ
$653,114 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
17°C or below
$12,359 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,612 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,658 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$11,870 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,626 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$19,989 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$65,422 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$138,689 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$225,024 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$94,431 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C or higher
$72,433 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$653,114วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$653,114วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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