Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the designated resolution station—confirm the highest temperature reached 85°F at 3:04 PM CDT on April 16, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome as traders aggregated real-time data from Wunderground. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus for low-to-mid 80s highs under a high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-20 mph promoting warm air advection, and dew points in the 60s°F enabling efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Slightly above the April climatological average of 79°F, the reading reflects typical spring warming patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare quality-controlled data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, though preliminary reports seldom change for non-extreme events; next daily climate summaries expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on April 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$53,526 ปริมาณ
$53,526 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$53,526 ปริมาณ
$53,526 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
75°F or below
$777 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,840 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$2,350 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$4,990 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$6,894 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$11,445 ปริมาณ
Yes
86-87°F
$7,482 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$8,235 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$4,218 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$2,494 ปริมาณ
No
94°F or higher
$2,800 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the designated resolution station—confirm the highest temperature reached 85°F at 3:04 PM CDT on April 16, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome as traders aggregated real-time data from Wunderground. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus for low-to-mid 80s highs under a high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-20 mph promoting warm air advection, and dew points in the 60s°F enabling efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Slightly above the April climatological average of 79°F, the reading reflects typical spring warming patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare quality-controlled data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, though preliminary reports seldom change for non-extreme events; next daily climate summaries expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,526วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the designated resolution station—confirm the highest temperature reached 85°F at 3:04 PM CDT on April 16, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome as traders aggregated real-time data from Wunderground. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus for low-to-mid 80s highs under a high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-20 mph promoting warm air advection, and dew points in the 60s°F enabling efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Slightly above the April climatological average of 79°F, the reading reflects typical spring warming patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare quality-controlled data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, though preliminary reports seldom change for non-extreme events; next daily climate summaries expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,526วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the designated resolution station—confirm the highest temperature reached 85°F at 3:04 PM CDT on April 16, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome as traders aggregated real-time data from Wunderground. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus for low-to-mid 80s highs under a high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-20 mph promoting warm air advection, and dew points in the 60s°F enabling efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. Slightly above the April climatological average of 79°F, the reading reflects typical spring warming patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare quality-controlled data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, though preliminary reports seldom change for non-extreme events; next daily climate summaries expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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