Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on April 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 ปริมาณ
$126,024 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 ปริมาณ
$126,024 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
65°F or below
$4,875 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,087 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$44,111 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$19,163 ปริมาณ
Yes
72-73°F
$11,476 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$12,521 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$10,927 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$4,233 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$3,402 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$4,125 ปริมาณ
No
84°F or higher
$3,103 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$126,024วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$126,024วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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