Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on April 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 ปริมาณ
$24,341 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 ปริมาณ
$24,341 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
$1,025 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$1,216 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$2,919 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,926 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$1,465 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$993 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,755 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$1,881 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,914 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$3,543 ปริมาณ
No
86°F or higher
$4,705 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,341วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,341วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย