National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 ปริมาณ
$56,723 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 ปริมาณ
$56,723 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
63°F or below
$1,137 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$5,502 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$3,981 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$3,402 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,854 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,912 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$5,667 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$7,808 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$6,156 ปริมาณ
Yes
80-81°F
$11,888 ปริมาณ
No
82°F or higher
$7,416 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,723วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,723วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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