Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,223 ปริมาณ
$60,223 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,223 ปริมาณ
$60,223 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
9°C or below
$1,526 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$1,652 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,208 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$7,476 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,906 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$9,421 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$9,362 ปริมาณ
Yes
16°C
$7,873 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$7,203 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,300 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$5,297 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,223วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,223วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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