Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 20?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,937 ปริมาณ
$22,937 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,937 ปริมาณ
$22,937 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
$376 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$537 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$646 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$593 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,327 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$5,333 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$5,676 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,735 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,853 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,182 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$679 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,937วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,937วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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