Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 ปริมาณ
$46,494 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 ปริมาณ
$46,494 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
19°C or below
$321 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,015 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,680 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,072 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$9,958 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$8,086 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,926 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,978 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,826 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,948 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$2,685 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,494วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,494วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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