Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,793 ปริมาณ
$86,793 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,793 ปริมาณ
$86,793 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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