Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 ปริมาณ
$48,635 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 ปริมาณ
$48,635 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
27°C or below
$4,491 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$12,114 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,880 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,016 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,715 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$11,783 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$2,874 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,692 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$2,496 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$2,533 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,635วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,635วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย