Current forecast models indicate London highs of 27–29°C on July 24 under mostly settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, creating the tight spread across leading market outcomes. Minor differences in predicted afternoon solar radiation, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud or sea-breeze effects account for the close contest between 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (27.5%). Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk but acknowledges typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges at this lead time, consistent with historical July variability where urban heat-island amplification can push central London readings slightly above regional averages. Updated model runs and midday observations on July 23 will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on July 24?
Highest temperature in London on July 24?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$159,542 ปริมาณ
$159,542 ปริมาณ
Jul 24, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$159,542 ปริมาณ
$159,542 ปริมาณ
Jul 24, 2026
24°C or below
$4,529 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$9,547 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$13,581 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$29,920 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$34,364 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$31,727 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$25,492 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$7,461 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,479 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$720 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$722 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate London highs of 27–29°C on July 24 under mostly settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, creating the tight spread across leading market outcomes. Minor differences in predicted afternoon solar radiation, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud or sea-breeze effects account for the close contest between 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (27.5%). Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk but acknowledges typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges at this lead time, consistent with historical July variability where urban heat-island amplification can push central London readings slightly above regional averages. Updated model runs and midday observations on July 23 will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,542วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate London highs of 27–29°C on July 24 under mostly settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, creating the tight spread across leading market outcomes. Minor differences in predicted afternoon solar radiation, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud or sea-breeze effects account for the close contest between 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (27.5%). Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk but acknowledges typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges at this lead time, consistent with historical July variability where urban heat-island amplification can push central London readings slightly above regional averages. Updated model runs and midday observations on July 23 will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,542วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecast models indicate London highs of 27–29°C on July 24 under mostly settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, creating the tight spread across leading market outcomes. Minor differences in predicted afternoon solar radiation, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud or sea-breeze effects account for the close contest between 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (27.5%). Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk but acknowledges typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges at this lead time, consistent with historical July variability where urban heat-island amplification can push central London readings slightly above regional averages. Updated model runs and midday observations on July 23 will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย