Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s July 16 maximum near 29 °C under lingering high pressure, yet incoming Atlantic fronts are expected to trigger afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating and favor 27–28 °C. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (27.5 %) and 28 °C (44.5 %), with 29 °C trailing at 19 %. Historical July climatology (average high ~23–26 °C) and the urban heat-island effect provide context, but short-term instability and potential earlier cloud cover introduce realistic downside risk to the highest outcomes. Fresh model updates and official briefings through July 15 remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on July 16?
Highest temperature in London on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$155,490 ปริมาณ
$155,490 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$155,490 ปริมาณ
$155,490 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
23°C or below
$2,671 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,779 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,709 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$17,533 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$43,324 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$39,106 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$21,775 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$13,312 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,626 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,484 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$2,171 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s July 16 maximum near 29 °C under lingering high pressure, yet incoming Atlantic fronts are expected to trigger afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating and favor 27–28 °C. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (27.5 %) and 28 °C (44.5 %), with 29 °C trailing at 19 %. Historical July climatology (average high ~23–26 °C) and the urban heat-island effect provide context, but short-term instability and potential earlier cloud cover introduce realistic downside risk to the highest outcomes. Fresh model updates and official briefings through July 15 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s July 16 maximum near 29 °C under lingering high pressure, yet incoming Atlantic fronts are expected to trigger afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating and favor 27–28 °C. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (27.5 %) and 28 °C (44.5 %), with 29 °C trailing at 19 %. Historical July climatology (average high ~23–26 °C) and the urban heat-island effect provide context, but short-term instability and potential earlier cloud cover introduce realistic downside risk to the highest outcomes. Fresh model updates and official briefings through July 15 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s July 16 maximum near 29 °C under lingering high pressure, yet incoming Atlantic fronts are expected to trigger afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating and favor 27–28 °C. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (27.5 %) and 28 °C (44.5 %), with 29 °C trailing at 19 %. Historical July climatology (average high ~23–26 °C) and the urban heat-island effect provide context, but short-term instability and potential earlier cloud cover introduce realistic downside risk to the highest outcomes. Fresh model updates and official briefings through July 15 remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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