A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on June 23?
Highest temperature in London on June 23?
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$291,597 ปริมาณ
$291,597 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$291,597 ปริมาณ
$291,597 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
32°C or below
$80,592 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$30,687 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$46,932 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$37,585 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$27,225 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$22,769 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$22,279 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$9,832 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$6,234 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$3,728 ปริมาณ
No
42°C or higher
$3,734 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291,597วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291,597วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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