India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C at Lucknow Airport on April 19 under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds, fueling trader consensus at 56% implied probability for 42°C as the highest, with 26.5% for 43°C. This positioning stems from recent observations—39.8°C on April 17 rising amid an early-season heatwave across Uttar Pradesh, where regional highs exceeded 44°C—and block-level IMD models projecting peaks near 42.7°C due to depleted soil moisture, high-pressure subsidence, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Historical April averages hover around 39°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C persists, with final IMD observations resolving the market tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
42°C 59%
43°C 28%
41°C 14%
44°C 2.3%
ใหม่
$13,745 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,745 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
40°C or below
1%
41°C
14%
42°C
59%
43°C
28%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C or higher
<1%
42°C 59%
43°C 28%
41°C 14%
44°C 2.3%
ใหม่
$13,745 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,745 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
40°C or below
$2,157 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$1,946 ปริมาณ
14%
42°C
$803 ปริมาณ
59%
43°C
$583 ปริมาณ
28%
44°C
$1,624 ปริมาณ
2%
45°C
$866 ปริมาณ
1%
46°C
$1,370 ปริมาณ
<1%
47°C
$727 ปริมาณ
<1%
48°C
$779 ปริมาณ
<1%
49°C
$2,053 ปริมาณ
<1%
50°C or higher
$1,017 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C at Lucknow Airport on April 19 under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds, fueling trader consensus at 56% implied probability for 42°C as the highest, with 26.5% for 43°C. This positioning stems from recent observations—39.8°C on April 17 rising amid an early-season heatwave across Uttar Pradesh, where regional highs exceeded 44°C—and block-level IMD models projecting peaks near 42.7°C due to depleted soil moisture, high-pressure subsidence, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Historical April averages hover around 39°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C persists, with final IMD observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,745วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C at Lucknow Airport on April 19 under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds, fueling trader consensus at 56% implied probability for 42°C as the highest, with 26.5% for 43°C. This positioning stems from recent observations—39.8°C on April 17 rising amid an early-season heatwave across Uttar Pradesh, where regional highs exceeded 44°C—and block-level IMD models projecting peaks near 42.7°C due to depleted soil moisture, high-pressure subsidence, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Historical April averages hover around 39°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C persists, with final IMD observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,745วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C at Lucknow Airport on April 19 under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds, fueling trader consensus at 56% implied probability for 42°C as the highest, with 26.5% for 43°C. This positioning stems from recent observations—39.8°C on April 17 rising amid an early-season heatwave across Uttar Pradesh, where regional highs exceeded 44°C—and block-level IMD models projecting peaks near 42.7°C due to depleted soil moisture, high-pressure subsidence, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Historical April averages hover around 39°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; inherent forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C persists, with final IMD observations resolving the market tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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