**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall timing dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow’s July 7 maximum temperature.** With the southwest monsoon already advanced across Uttar Pradesh and active low-pressure systems in place, widespread cloudiness and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the official India Meteorological Department station reading clustered near the historical early-July average of 33 °C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a 32–34 °C range for July 7, reflecting modest day-to-day variability in rainfall intensity and the precise position of monsoon troughs. Heavier or more persistent rain and thicker cloud decks favor the lower outcomes (31–32 °C) by reducing incoming solar radiation, while any temporary monsoon break or delayed precipitation allows clearer skies and slightly higher maxima (34–35 °C). Because the event is only two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities (roughly 12–16 % across the top four bins) directly mirrors the remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and coverage, rather than any large-scale shift in seasonal climate drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 7?
33°C 28%
32°C 23%
34°C 17%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
23%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
32°C 23%
34°C 17%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
28°C or below
$318 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$194 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$298 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$111 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$7 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$85 ปริมาณ
28%
34°C
$16 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$30 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$189 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$393 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall timing dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow’s July 7 maximum temperature.** With the southwest monsoon already advanced across Uttar Pradesh and active low-pressure systems in place, widespread cloudiness and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the official India Meteorological Department station reading clustered near the historical early-July average of 33 °C.
Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a 32–34 °C range for July 7, reflecting modest day-to-day variability in rainfall intensity and the precise position of monsoon troughs. Heavier or more persistent rain and thicker cloud decks favor the lower outcomes (31–32 °C) by reducing incoming solar radiation, while any temporary monsoon break or delayed precipitation allows clearer skies and slightly higher maxima (34–35 °C).
Because the event is only two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities (roughly 12–16 % across the top four bins) directly mirrors the remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and coverage, rather than any large-scale shift in seasonal climate drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,652วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall timing dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow’s July 7 maximum temperature.** With the southwest monsoon already advanced across Uttar Pradesh and active low-pressure systems in place, widespread cloudiness and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the official India Meteorological Department station reading clustered near the historical early-July average of 33 °C.
Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a 32–34 °C range for July 7, reflecting modest day-to-day variability in rainfall intensity and the precise position of monsoon troughs. Heavier or more persistent rain and thicker cloud decks favor the lower outcomes (31–32 °C) by reducing incoming solar radiation, while any temporary monsoon break or delayed precipitation allows clearer skies and slightly higher maxima (34–35 °C).
Because the event is only two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities (roughly 12–16 % across the top four bins) directly mirrors the remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and coverage, rather than any large-scale shift in seasonal climate drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,652วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall timing dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow’s July 7 maximum temperature.** With the southwest monsoon already advanced across Uttar Pradesh and active low-pressure systems in place, widespread cloudiness and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the official India Meteorological Department station reading clustered near the historical early-July average of 33 °C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a 32–34 °C range for July 7, reflecting modest day-to-day variability in rainfall intensity and the precise position of monsoon troughs. Heavier or more persistent rain and thicker cloud decks favor the lower outcomes (31–32 °C) by reducing incoming solar radiation, while any temporary monsoon break or delayed precipitation allows clearer skies and slightly higher maxima (34–35 °C). Because the event is only two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities (roughly 12–16 % across the top four bins) directly mirrors the remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and coverage, rather than any large-scale shift in seasonal climate drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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