**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 7 maximum temperature centers on typical mid-winter variability around the long-term average of 16–17 °C.** Recent South African Weather Service guidance and global ensemble runs indicate a mostly fine, cool day with light to moderate south-easterly or westerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest under the influence of the cold Benguela Current. The market’s clustering around 18–20 °C (combined ~56 %) reflects the potential for brief ridging or a slight northerly component that can allow marginally warmer marine air to reach the city, while the still-substantial probability on 18 °C and below accounts for persistent onshore flow or increased cloud cover that would cap temperatures closer to climatology. Short-range model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage or high-pressure adjustment over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 7?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 7?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,109 ปริมาณ
$45,109 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,109 ปริมาณ
$45,109 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
13°C or below
$2,139 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,960 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,378 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,512 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,044 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,164 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,354 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$7,652 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,521 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,968 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$2,417 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 7 maximum temperature centers on typical mid-winter variability around the long-term average of 16–17 °C.** Recent South African Weather Service guidance and global ensemble runs indicate a mostly fine, cool day with light to moderate south-easterly or westerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest under the influence of the cold Benguela Current. The market’s clustering around 18–20 °C (combined ~56 %) reflects the potential for brief ridging or a slight northerly component that can allow marginally warmer marine air to reach the city, while the still-substantial probability on 18 °C and below accounts for persistent onshore flow or increased cloud cover that would cap temperatures closer to climatology. Short-range model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage or high-pressure adjustment over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,109วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 7 maximum temperature centers on typical mid-winter variability around the long-term average of 16–17 °C.** Recent South African Weather Service guidance and global ensemble runs indicate a mostly fine, cool day with light to moderate south-easterly or westerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest under the influence of the cold Benguela Current. The market’s clustering around 18–20 °C (combined ~56 %) reflects the potential for brief ridging or a slight northerly component that can allow marginally warmer marine air to reach the city, while the still-substantial probability on 18 °C and below accounts for persistent onshore flow or increased cloud cover that would cap temperatures closer to climatology. Short-range model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage or high-pressure adjustment over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,109วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 7 maximum temperature centers on typical mid-winter variability around the long-term average of 16–17 °C.** Recent South African Weather Service guidance and global ensemble runs indicate a mostly fine, cool day with light to moderate south-easterly or westerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest under the influence of the cold Benguela Current. The market’s clustering around 18–20 °C (combined ~56 %) reflects the potential for brief ridging or a slight northerly component that can allow marginally warmer marine air to reach the city, while the still-substantial probability on 18 °C and below accounts for persistent onshore flow or increased cloud cover that would cap temperatures closer to climatology. Short-range model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and strength of any frontal passage or high-pressure adjustment over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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