Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,887 ปริมาณ
$19,887 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,887 ปริมาณ
$19,887 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
$2,702 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$678 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,035 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,474 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,114 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,001 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$5,066 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,771 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,058 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$498 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$489 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,887วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,887วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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