Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on April 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 20?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 ปริมาณ
$37,348 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 ปริมาณ
$37,348 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
29°C or below
$2,953 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,816 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,971 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,171 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$3,905 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,498 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$8,241 ปริมาณ
Yes
36°C
$3,556 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$3,953 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$2,097 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$1,186 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,348วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,348วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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