Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 24?
36°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$48,277 ปริมาณ
$48,277 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$48,277 ปริมาณ
$48,277 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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