**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 5?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,420 ปริมาณ
$41,420 ปริมาณ
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,420 ปริมาณ
$41,420 ปริมาณ
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
$1,355 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,451 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,265 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,416 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,553 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,089 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$9,062 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$6,654 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,282 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,004 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$2,290 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,420วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,420วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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