Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,472 ปริมาณ
$32,472 ปริมาณ
Jun 1, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,472 ปริมาณ
$32,472 ปริมาณ
Jun 1, 2026
16°C or below
$632 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$293 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$293 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$674 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$353 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,640 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,307 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,724 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,892 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,933 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$11,732 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,472วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,472วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย