Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 24?
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 ปริมาณ
$101,836 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 ปริมาณ
$101,836 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
$211 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$7,962 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,383 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$54,382 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$12,954 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,501 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,668 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,865 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,833 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,888 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$188 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,836วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,836วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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