Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 ปริมาณ
$11,014 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 ปริมาณ
$11,014 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
$119 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$235 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$115 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$120 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$353 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$353 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$405 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,772 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,148 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,634 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$2,759 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,014วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,014วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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