Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 ปริมาณ
$78,614 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 ปริมาณ
$78,614 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
16°C or below
$4,625 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$8,151 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,942 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,791 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,558 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,615 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,751 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,268 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,709 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$11,611 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C or higher
$11,594 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,614วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,614วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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