Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,584 ปริมาณ
$14,584 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,584 ปริมาณ
$14,584 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
14°C or below
$432 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$185 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,094 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$265 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$447 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$446 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$647 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$680 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,808 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,777 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$2,804 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,584วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,584วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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