**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,490 ปริมาณ
$49,490 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,490 ปริมาณ
$49,490 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
$433 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$516 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$6,868 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$6,826 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,596 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,432 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,752 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$6,883 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,640 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,253 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$2,291 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts.
Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts.
Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for an 18°C high on June 16, 2026, in Moscow rests on real-time observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies.** Current conditions feature stable high pressure with clear skies, limiting daytime heating while surface observations and model runs (including those aligned with Russian meteorological services) consistently project a peak near 18°C rather than the monthly June average of roughly 20–22°C. This positioning reflects the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk favors the outcome matching the latest verified readings and ensemble forecasts. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unmodeled cloud cover, wind changes, or urban heat-island effects that could push the official maximum to 17°C or 19°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the tight model agreement and proximity to market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย