Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 ปริมาณ
$176,929 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 ปริมาณ
$176,929 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
4°C or below
$4,474 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$3,369 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$5,317 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$7,403 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$123,511 ปริมาณ
Yes
9°C
$10,292 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$7,318 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$4,916 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,687 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,256 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$4,385 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$176,929วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
มีการคัดค้าน
เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$176,929วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
มีการคัดค้าน
เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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