Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 ปริมาณ
$55,673 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 ปริมาณ
$55,673 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
17°C or below
$447 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,504 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,153 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,425 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,422 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,194 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$7,134 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$5,981 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,497 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$7,431 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$7,487 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,673วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,673วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย