National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on April 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$483,106 ปริมาณ
$483,106 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$483,106 ปริมาณ
$483,106 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
77°F or below
$11,596 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$6,778 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$15,033 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$12,500 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$30,860 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$302,864 ปริมาณ
Yes
88-89°F
$24,721 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$24,036 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$31,113 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$14,485 ปริมาณ
No
96°F or higher
$9,119 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$483,106วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$483,106วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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