Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 79–80°F in New York City on July 23, supported by mostly sunny skies, light northwest flow, and limited moisture return behind recent frontal passage. Traders assign nearly 70% combined probability to the 78–81°F bins because short-range models show only modest afternoon warming before any sea-breeze or thin cloud deck develops. Historical July climatology favors highs around 82°F, yet the current pattern’s cooler mid-level temperatures and drier boundary layer keep readings below seasonal norms. Key uncertainties remain the precise timing of any late-day increase in cumulus and the strength of onshore flow, both of which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F and explain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 23?
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 4.5%
ใหม่
$12,966 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,966 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 4.5%
ใหม่
$12,966 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,966 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
71°F or below
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$279 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$5,474 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$540 ปริมาณ
3%
78-79°F
$1,033 ปริมาณ
20%
80-81°F
$580 ปริมาณ
50%
82-83°F
$480 ปริมาณ
24%
84-85°F
$1,932 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$1,736 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$524 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$220 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 79–80°F in New York City on July 23, supported by mostly sunny skies, light northwest flow, and limited moisture return behind recent frontal passage. Traders assign nearly 70% combined probability to the 78–81°F bins because short-range models show only modest afternoon warming before any sea-breeze or thin cloud deck develops. Historical July climatology favors highs around 82°F, yet the current pattern’s cooler mid-level temperatures and drier boundary layer keep readings below seasonal norms. Key uncertainties remain the precise timing of any late-day increase in cumulus and the strength of onshore flow, both of which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F and explain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,966วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 79–80°F in New York City on July 23, supported by mostly sunny skies, light northwest flow, and limited moisture return behind recent frontal passage. Traders assign nearly 70% combined probability to the 78–81°F bins because short-range models show only modest afternoon warming before any sea-breeze or thin cloud deck develops. Historical July climatology favors highs around 82°F, yet the current pattern’s cooler mid-level temperatures and drier boundary layer keep readings below seasonal norms. Key uncertainties remain the precise timing of any late-day increase in cumulus and the strength of onshore flow, both of which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F and explain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,966วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 79–80°F in New York City on July 23, supported by mostly sunny skies, light northwest flow, and limited moisture return behind recent frontal passage. Traders assign nearly 70% combined probability to the 78–81°F bins because short-range models show only modest afternoon warming before any sea-breeze or thin cloud deck develops. Historical July climatology favors highs around 82°F, yet the current pattern’s cooler mid-level temperatures and drier boundary layer keep readings below seasonal norms. Key uncertainties remain the precise timing of any late-day increase in cumulus and the strength of onshore flow, both of which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F and explain the tight spread between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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