Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 9?
84-85°F 39%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 20%
80-81°F 7.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 39%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 20%
80-81°F 7.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
75°F or below
$485 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$547 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$416 ปริมาณ
3%
80-81°F
$853 ปริมาณ
8%
82-83°F
$2,653 ปริมาณ
20%
84-85°F
$1,166 ปริมาณ
39%
86-87°F
$981 ปริมาณ
23%
88-89°F
$435 ปริมาณ
8%
90-91°F
$296 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$835 ปริมาณ
1%
94°F or higher
$412 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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