The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 ปริมาณ
$8,658 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 ปริมาณ
$8,658 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
21°C or below
$213 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$287 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$281 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$291 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$301 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$472 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$333 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$811 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,871 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,906 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$1,894 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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