Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 ปริมาณ
$20,188 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 ปริมาณ
$20,188 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
$3,520 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$237 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$513 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$329 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,308 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$568 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,413 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,334 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,551 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,898 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$2,515 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,188วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,188วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย