Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 9?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 ปริมาณ
$18,713 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 ปริมาณ
$18,713 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
23°C or below
$641 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$555 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,597 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$982 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$892 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,292 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,442 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,798 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$5,011 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$3,403 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,713วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,713วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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