Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 19?
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 ปริมาณ
$51,443 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 ปริมาณ
$51,443 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
57°F or below
$1,517 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$925 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$1,196 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$3,156 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$9,472 ปริมาณ
Yes
66-67°F
$10,740 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$8,192 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$3,430 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,385 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$3,285 ปริมาณ
No
76°F or higher
$7,146 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,443วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,443วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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