Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 23?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$49,805 ปริมาณ
$49,805 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$49,805 ปริมาณ
$49,805 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
57°F or below
$454 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$2,653 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$517 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$648 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$4,857 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$3,222 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$6,728 ปริมาณ
Yes
70-71°F
$19,066 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$4,468 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$4,039 ปริมาณ
No
76°F or higher
$3,154 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,805วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,805วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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