Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 ปริมาณ
$49,429 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 ปริมาณ
$49,429 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
47°F or below
$1,946 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$1,128 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$1,052 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$1,660 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$2,878 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$2,817 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$5,356 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$7,918 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$10,074 ปริมาณ
Yes
64-65°F
$9,100 ปริมาณ
No
66°F or higher
$5,500 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,429วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,429วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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