**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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