**Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driven by clear to mostly clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under a warm, dry air mass.** This setup follows recent rainfall that cleared, allowing stronger nighttime temperature drops than during the prior cloudy period, while daytime heating reaches 30–31°C. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and light winds limit further cooling, positioning 16°C as the consensus outcome with 56.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs and early-morning observations will refine this ahead of final resolution, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
16°C 96%
15°C 13%
13°C 4.0%
14°C 2%
$1,973 ปริมาณ
$1,973 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 13%
13°C 4.0%
14°C 2%
$1,973 ปริมาณ
$1,973 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$620 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$64 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$34 ปริมาณ
13%
16°C
$411 ปริมาณ
96%
17°C
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$94 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driven by clear to mostly clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under a warm, dry air mass.** This setup follows recent rainfall that cleared, allowing stronger nighttime temperature drops than during the prior cloudy period, while daytime heating reaches 30–31°C. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and light winds limit further cooling, positioning 16°C as the consensus outcome with 56.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs and early-morning observations will refine this ahead of final resolution, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,973วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driven by clear to mostly clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under a warm, dry air mass.** This setup follows recent rainfall that cleared, allowing stronger nighttime temperature drops than during the prior cloudy period, while daytime heating reaches 30–31°C. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and light winds limit further cooling, positioning 16°C as the consensus outcome with 56.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs and early-morning observations will refine this ahead of final resolution, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,973วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driven by clear to mostly clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under a warm, dry air mass.** This setup follows recent rainfall that cleared, allowing stronger nighttime temperature drops than during the prior cloudy period, while daytime heating reaches 30–31°C. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and light winds limit further cooling, positioning 16°C as the consensus outcome with 56.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs and early-morning observations will refine this ahead of final resolution, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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