Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 96°F and recent days already producing similar readings. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 42%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 42%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 96°F and recent days already producing similar readings. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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