Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C overnight into August 30, aligning closely with the city’s historical August average low near 14°C. Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating and radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply despite occasional cooler microclimate readings in higher-elevation districts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range, with elevated odds on 6°C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger-than-expected northerly flow or model divergence, while mid-teens outcomes remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty. Official observations from primary stations will resolve the market once finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
6°C or below 88%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
88%
7°C
2%
8°C
15%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C or higher
24%
6°C or below 88%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$17 ปริมาณ
88%
7°C
$69 ปริมาณ
2%
8°C
$16 ปริมาณ
15%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
16°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C overnight into August 30, aligning closely with the city’s historical August average low near 14°C. Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating and radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply despite occasional cooler microclimate readings in higher-elevation districts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range, with elevated odds on 6°C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger-than-expected northerly flow or model divergence, while mid-teens outcomes remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty. Official observations from primary stations will resolve the market once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C overnight into August 30, aligning closely with the city’s historical August average low near 14°C. Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating and radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply despite occasional cooler microclimate readings in higher-elevation districts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range, with elevated odds on 6°C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger-than-expected northerly flow or model divergence, while mid-teens outcomes remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty. Official observations from primary stations will resolve the market once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C overnight into August 30, aligning closely with the city’s historical August average low near 14°C. Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating and radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply despite occasional cooler microclimate readings in higher-elevation districts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range, with elevated odds on 6°C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger-than-expected northerly flow or model divergence, while mid-teens outcomes remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty. Official observations from primary stations will resolve the market once finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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