Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and supporting models points to an overnight low near 19–20 °C on August 30 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 19 °C holding the highest implied probability. Increasing cloud cover and a 60 % chance of showers will limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air with elevated dew points. These conditions contrast with the clearer, drier nights earlier in the weekend that produced lows around 14–17 °C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing keeps probabilities clustered between 19 °C and 20 °C, with lower or higher outcomes reflecting uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer or any showers modify the minimum. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
16°C 25%
17°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
15%
15°C
8%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
16%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
16°C 25%
17°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and supporting models points to an overnight low near 19–20 °C on August 30 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 19 °C holding the highest implied probability. Increasing cloud cover and a 60 % chance of showers will limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air with elevated dew points. These conditions contrast with the clearer, drier nights earlier in the weekend that produced lows around 14–17 °C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing keeps probabilities clustered between 19 °C and 20 °C, with lower or higher outcomes reflecting uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer or any showers modify the minimum. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and supporting models points to an overnight low near 19–20 °C on August 30 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 19 °C holding the highest implied probability. Increasing cloud cover and a 60 % chance of showers will limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air with elevated dew points. These conditions contrast with the clearer, drier nights earlier in the weekend that produced lows around 14–17 °C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing keeps probabilities clustered between 19 °C and 20 °C, with lower or higher outcomes reflecting uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer or any showers modify the minimum. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and supporting models points to an overnight low near 19–20 °C on August 30 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 19 °C holding the highest implied probability. Increasing cloud cover and a 60 % chance of showers will limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air with elevated dew points. These conditions contrast with the clearer, drier nights earlier in the weekend that produced lows around 14–17 °C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing keeps probabilities clustered between 19 °C and 20 °C, with lower or higher outcomes reflecting uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer or any showers modify the minimum. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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