**Persistent tropical moisture, frequent rainfall, and extensive cloud cover are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in Panama City (Panama) as August 30 approaches.** In late August, the region is deep in the rainy season, with high humidity and convective activity limiting radiative cooling at night. Climatological data show typical August minimums near 24°C, and current patterns—with widespread showers and thunderstorms—favor overnight lows that cluster around 24–26°C rather than dropping toward 23°C or lower. Model consensus and recent observations indicate no strong cold surges or clear-sky episodes that would allow greater cooling, supporting the market's heaviest trading on 26°C (46% implied probability), followed by 27°C and 25°C. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from variable thunderstorm timing and coverage, which can produce slight night-to-night differences of 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next model runs and local observations will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 25°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 76%
22°C 49%
26°C 38%
20°C or below
77%
21°C
15%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
38%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
76%
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 76%
22°C 49%
26°C 38%
20°C or below
77%
21°C
15%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
38%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture, frequent rainfall, and extensive cloud cover are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in Panama City (Panama) as August 30 approaches.** In late August, the region is deep in the rainy season, with high humidity and convective activity limiting radiative cooling at night. Climatological data show typical August minimums near 24°C, and current patterns—with widespread showers and thunderstorms—favor overnight lows that cluster around 24–26°C rather than dropping toward 23°C or lower. Model consensus and recent observations indicate no strong cold surges or clear-sky episodes that would allow greater cooling, supporting the market's heaviest trading on 26°C (46% implied probability), followed by 27°C and 25°C. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from variable thunderstorm timing and coverage, which can produce slight night-to-night differences of 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next model runs and local observations will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 25°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย