**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C high in Wellington on August 29, reflecting model consensus for mild northerly flow and clearing skies after today's frontal passage.** Official MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 13–14°C under northwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions allowing modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of ~12–13°C. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching 14°C today amid strong northerlies, supporting slight upward bias in ensemble runs. Uncertainties remain around exact wind backing and any late marine influence that could cap the peak, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with meaningful probability. Updated model guidance tonight will refine the final maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 66%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
$24,115 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,115 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
66%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 66%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
$24,115 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,115 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$850 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$2,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,050 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$426 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$5,347 ปริมาณ
16%
15°C
$4,475 ปริมาณ
66%
16°C
$3,266 ปริมาณ
17%
17°C
$2,504 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$2,862 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C high in Wellington on August 29, reflecting model consensus for mild northerly flow and clearing skies after today's frontal passage.** Official MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 13–14°C under northwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions allowing modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of ~12–13°C. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching 14°C today amid strong northerlies, supporting slight upward bias in ensemble runs. Uncertainties remain around exact wind backing and any late marine influence that could cap the peak, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with meaningful probability. Updated model guidance tonight will refine the final maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,115วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C high in Wellington on August 29, reflecting model consensus for mild northerly flow and clearing skies after today's frontal passage.** Official MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 13–14°C under northwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions allowing modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of ~12–13°C. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching 14°C today amid strong northerlies, supporting slight upward bias in ensemble runs. Uncertainties remain around exact wind backing and any late marine influence that could cap the peak, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with meaningful probability. Updated model guidance tonight will refine the final maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,115วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C high in Wellington on August 29, reflecting model consensus for mild northerly flow and clearing skies after today's frontal passage.** Official MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 13–14°C under northwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions allowing modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of ~12–13°C. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching 14°C today amid strong northerlies, supporting slight upward bias in ensemble runs. Uncertainties remain around exact wind backing and any late marine influence that could cap the peak, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with meaningful probability. Updated model guidance tonight will refine the final maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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