Recent northwesterly flow and clearing skies after earlier showers are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29 forecast near 10–11 °C, with trader consensus clustered around these levels. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows light winds moderating radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, while historical August climatology places average lows near 9 °C. Minor model differences in timing of any residual cloud or wind gusts create the tight spread across 9–12 °C outcomes, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated forecast runs and early-morning observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
13°C 49%
11°C 27%
10°C 27%
12°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
7%
8°C
23%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
11°C 27%
10°C 27%
12°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
7°C
$174 ปริมาณ
7%
8°C
$72 ปริมาณ
23%
9°C
$26 ปริมาณ
26%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
11°C
$20 ปริมาณ
27%
12°C
$16 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$47 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly flow and clearing skies after earlier showers are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29 forecast near 10–11 °C, with trader consensus clustered around these levels. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows light winds moderating radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, while historical August climatology places average lows near 9 °C. Minor model differences in timing of any residual cloud or wind gusts create the tight spread across 9–12 °C outcomes, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated forecast runs and early-morning observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly flow and clearing skies after earlier showers are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29 forecast near 10–11 °C, with trader consensus clustered around these levels. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows light winds moderating radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, while historical August climatology places average lows near 9 °C. Minor model differences in timing of any residual cloud or wind gusts create the tight spread across 9–12 °C outcomes, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated forecast runs and early-morning observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northwesterly flow and clearing skies after earlier showers are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29 forecast near 10–11 °C, with trader consensus clustered around these levels. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows light winds moderating radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, while historical August climatology places average lows near 9 °C. Minor model differences in timing of any residual cloud or wind gusts create the tight spread across 9–12 °C outcomes, as even small changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated forecast runs and early-morning observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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