Current forecast models from agencies like Brazil's CPTEC and global ensembles point to a cool June day in São Paulo driven by a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, keeping daytime highs likely between 14–16°C. Recent observations show temperatures several degrees below seasonal normals around 22°C, with light winds and possible showers limiting solar heating and favoring the market's leading 15°C outcome at 30.5% implied probability. Model spread on exact maximums—sensitive to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering around 14°C and 16°C, while historical June variability underscores why traders assign lower weight to extremes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 24?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,841 ปริมาณ
$103,841 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,841 ปริมาณ
$103,841 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
10°C or below
$180 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$1,204 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$42,083 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$31,352 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$10,352 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$6,126 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,230 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,141 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,593 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,222 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$359 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Brazil's CPTEC and global ensembles point to a cool June day in São Paulo driven by a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, keeping daytime highs likely between 14–16°C. Recent observations show temperatures several degrees below seasonal normals around 22°C, with light winds and possible showers limiting solar heating and favoring the market's leading 15°C outcome at 30.5% implied probability. Model spread on exact maximums—sensitive to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering around 14°C and 16°C, while historical June variability underscores why traders assign lower weight to extremes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,841วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Brazil's CPTEC and global ensembles point to a cool June day in São Paulo driven by a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, keeping daytime highs likely between 14–16°C. Recent observations show temperatures several degrees below seasonal normals around 22°C, with light winds and possible showers limiting solar heating and favoring the market's leading 15°C outcome at 30.5% implied probability. Model spread on exact maximums—sensitive to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering around 14°C and 16°C, while historical June variability underscores why traders assign lower weight to extremes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,841วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecast models from agencies like Brazil's CPTEC and global ensembles point to a cool June day in São Paulo driven by a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, keeping daytime highs likely between 14–16°C. Recent observations show temperatures several degrees below seasonal normals around 22°C, with light winds and possible showers limiting solar heating and favoring the market's leading 15°C outcome at 30.5% implied probability. Model spread on exact maximums—sensitive to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering around 14°C and 16°C, while historical June variability underscores why traders assign lower weight to extremes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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