Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 ปริมาณ
$319,806 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 ปริมาณ
$319,806 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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